Daily Insights – Soft US Jobs Data Paves Way for September Fed Cut

Soft US Jobs Data Paves Way for September Fed Cut

  • US payrolls data disappointed, with only 22,000 jobs added in August compared with expectations of 75,000. Prior months were also revised down by a further 21,000, adding to the softer picture.
  • The unemployment rate nudged higher to 4.3 percent, reinforcing the signal of a cooling labour market.
  • Markets responded by leaning further toward Fed easing, with close to 27bp of cuts priced for September and around 69bp expected by year end.
  • US Treasuries yields fell sharply on Friday, with the 10 year Treasury down 10bp to 4.08 percent and the 2 year yield lower by 8bp at 3.51 percent.
  • Locally, the calendar is light this week with no major data due, so global headlines will be the key driver of direction.
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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen