Daily Insights – November CPI Preview

November CPI Preview

  • The key domestic event today is the November CPI release at 11:30am, expected to be a major driver for local markets through the session.
  • Market consensus looks for headline inflation to print at 3.6% y/y, keeping inflation pressures elevated.
  • The monthly trimmed mean is expected to hold near 3.3% y/y, remaining well above the 2.5% midpoint of the target range referenced by the Reserve Bank of Australia.
  • While the monthly CPI now represents a full inflation read, policy focus remains on the Q4 trimmed mean, due alongside the December data on 28 January.
  • Near-term volatility in headline inflation continues to reflect the timing of electricity rebates and swings in travel and accommodation prices.

 

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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen