Daily Flows & Insights – US Trade Policy Impact Still Muted

Daily Flows

  • Today, several green-friendly BBB+ rated banks are in the market, with 6-month tenors offered around 4.45%.
  • An A-1/A rated bank was the clear standout yesterday for longer-term TDs, offering 4.60% for 5 years, around 25bps above comparable market rates.
  • For NCDs, overseas A-rated banks are now offering +50 over 3m BBSW, joining many domestic names seeking funds.

US Trade Policy Impact Still Muted

  • US bond yields eased 4–8bps, led by the long end, after a strong 30-year auction calmed concerns over investor demand for long-term US debt.
  • The May PPI report was broadly benign, suggesting recent US trade policies have yet to materially impact domestic prices.
  • Producer prices rose 0.1% in May (vs. +0.2% expected), with the annual PPI rate ticking up to 2.6% (from 2.5%), in line with forecasts.
  • In Australia, CommBank’s HSI showed household spending rose 0.5% in May, lifting the annual pace to 5.2%. While monthly momentum improved, overall spending remains softer than expected for 2025.
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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen