Daily Flows & Insights – U.S. Retail Sales

Daily Flows

  • Significant flow was directed to 5 year term deposits with an above market offering of 5.22%.
  • In the term deposit space, the most competitive pricing is coming from ‘A’ rated counterparties with 5.10% for 6 months, 5.18% for 1 year and 5.06% for 4 years being offered.
  • NCD activity was quiet but those with funds to place were still able to pick up +45 for 3 months.

U.S. Retail Sales

  • U.S. retail sales experienced a significant decline in January, marking the largest drop in 10 months, attributed partly to cold weather and seasonal adjustment challenges.
  • Despite the drop, economists suggest caution in interpreting the data, emphasising the continuing strength of the labor market and elevated wage growth, which should support ongoing economic expansion.
  • Economists had anticipated a smaller decline of 0.1% for January, indicating that the actual drop exceeded expectations.
  • Weather conditions, particularly snowstorms, contributed to decreased sales in sectors like building materials, motor vehicles, and gasoline, while adjustments for seasonal factors were impacted by challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • The weaker than expected resulted pushed market sentiment, bringing rate cute expectations further forward.
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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen