Daily Flows & Insights – The Week Ahead

Daily Flows

  • Last Friday, stronger flow in the NCD market was seen. market participants have kept 3 month margins at +50 domestically and +55 for foreign names.
  • 6 month TDs attracted significant flow. Investors were able to pick up 5.55% from BBBs and 5.30% for A rated banks.
  • A floating 4 year Suncorp Senior Secured bond had significant flow, with a trading margin of 94 basis points.

The week ahead

  • At the start of this week some key economic indicators come out of China, including second quarter GDP.
  • Markets will be watching carefully to see how weak China’s economy is. Expect a large YoY print due to base effects but a lacking quarter read.
  • On Tuesday, the RBA meeting minutes is released. Whilst the last decision was mostly expected by markets and economists, incoming quarterly data will be critical for the next meeting.
  • Overseas, U.S. retail sales is printed mid week. Consumer spending, similar to Australia remains resilient in the face of inflation and interest rates.
  • Finishing off the week, domestic employment data is released. In the past, Michelle Bullock has expressed the need for unemployment to rise to at least 4.50%. The new RBA governor will be looking for an easing in the labour market come Thursday.
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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen