Daily Flows & Insights – Stronger than Expected Employment

Daily Flows

  • The A rated ADI’s have been consistently showing the top market rates, so we have seen a lot of flow into Rabobank, NAB and ING this week.
  • Domestic ADI’s are lowering their margins as their appetite decrease, but we are still seeing foreign names issuing NCD’s at +50bp.
  • With excess liquidity in the market, we are seeing opportunities start to close off, so if there is a rate that stands out, we suggest locking it in before that closes off

Stronger than Expected Employment

  • The highly anticipated employment data for June failed to give any clarity on the outlook ahead of the next RBA meeting in August.
  • Total employment growth was stronger than expected (50.2k vs exp 20k). However the unemployment rate rose 0.1% to 4.1% after the participation rate edged higher.
  • The focus will now shift to the quarterly CPI release on the 31st of July ahead of the RBA’s August 6 meeting
  • Currently the market is still pricing in little chance of hike at the meeting but CPI could sway the decision
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Curve Team
David Flanagan