Daily Flows & Insights – Safe Haven Trading & Strong ADP Jobs Data

Daily Flows

  • Market participants who ventured into the unrated space were handsomely rewarded with a 5.05% return for 5-month term deposits.
  • In the credit space, there has been decent liquidity in mutual paper, which is trading considerably wider than regional and major banks.
  • NCD outright levels for 6 months are consistently being offered above 5.00%.

Safe Haven Trading & Strong ADP Jobs Data

  • With growing uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, markets have returned to safe-haven trading.
  • Much of the tightening from Treasury demand was unwound as a stronger-than-expected ADP employment number pushed out expectations for further monetary policy tightening.
  • This comes ahead of the ISM survey and non-farm payrolls, both due at the end of the week.
  • Markets will be watching both prints closely and interpreting them in the context of the monetary policy outlook.
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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen