Daily Flows & Insights – Retail Sales Tick Up in January

Daily Flows

  • 2-3 year term deposits were in strong supply yesterday, with rates ranging from 4.75% to 4.80%.
  • The curve remains relatively flat from 3 to 12 months, with 4.75% the highest available rate at 6 months.
  • A slight bid tone has returned to the domestic mutual space, with a few issuers actively chasing funds.

Retail Sales Tick Up in January

  • Retail sales increased by 0.3% m/m in January 2025, rebounding from a 0.1% decline in December, and in line with market forecasts.
  • The increase was primarily driven by cafes, restaurants, and takeaway food, reflecting stronger discretionary spending.
  • Major events such as the Australian Open and cricket contributed to the January spending uptick, as these typically boost catering and hospitality demand.
  • The underlying trend suggests improving consumption, which is expected to continue as inflationary pressures ease.
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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen