Short term rates have been creeping up over the last couple of days, with BBSW looking like it will set 5 basis points higher across all terms and 1 Year Aussie swaps reaching a level of 4.20%.
With credit spreads for 1 year term consistently being offered at +100, outright rates of 5.20% are expected today.
NCD margins are being held at +50 for 3 months as ADIs keep coming to market looking to attract funds.
RBA Tomorrow
This week, The RBA meets on Tuesday to make a decision on monetary policy.
The market is split on whether or not the RBA will hike.
Points for a hike are: a higher than expected monthly CPI, resilient house prices, Auction clearances increasing and a higher than expected wage decision.
Market reasoning against a hike include: slowing retail sales, building approvals decline and lending data softening.
The Week Ahead
Q1 GDP is released domestically with economists forecasting a rate of 0.3%. A softer than expected read is being called by some economists with weaker consumption and weaker contribution from net exports being the driving forces.
In the U.S. important data points include U.S. ISM services, trade balance and consumer credit data.
China’s inflation rate, PPI and trade balance is also released.