Daily Flows & Insights – Markets look to FedSpeak during a Quiet Period

Daily Flows

  • Market participants can anticipate the upcoming launch of a 3-year FRN MTN, with the mandate announced earlier this morning.
  • Yesterday, RaboBank’s long-term 5-year rate of 5.05% remained notably attractive, encouraging market participants to extend their duration.
  • Recently, the focus has shifted to the short end of the curve, as investors prioritise liquidity ahead of the Christmas season.

Markets look to FedSpeak during a quiet period

  • Markets were quiet on the data front, leaving Fed commentary to drive trading sentiment.
  • The multitude of Fed speakers allows the central bank to test its rhetoric and gauge market reception.
  • Yesterday, Fed Speaker Daly stated she did not see a need for rate cuts to halt, citing a restrictive environment sufficient to return inflation to target.
  • Dallas Fed President Logan also viewed a gradual reduction as an appropriate approach.
  • The overall rhetoric appears to favour a measured 25 basis points reduction moving forward, though any positive economic surprises could put future cuts into question.
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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen