Daily Flows & Insights – Markets Adjust Swiftly to Tariff Announcements

Daily Flows

  • U.S. equities dropped sharply overnight while bonds rallied, with prices up and yields down.
  • One-year swaps have fallen 19 basis points over the past couple of days, pushing 12-month term deposit rates  towards the 4.50% mark.
  • NCD margins remain steady at +40, with no noticeable spike in liquidity demand of late.

Markets Adjust Swiftly to Tariff Announcements

  • Markets continue to react to Trump’s surprise tariff announcement, with the scope and scale of the measures exceeding expectations.
  • Equities experienced a historic sell-off of 4–6%, while bonds rallied strongly, with yields falling 5–15 basis points across the 1–5 year part of the curve as investors sought safe-haven assets.
  • Every country was hit with a minimum 10% tariff on all imports, alongside additional country-specific levies.
  • The full impact is still unfolding, with countries like Canada already announcing retaliatory tariffs.
  • Domestically, credit spreads are widening while demand for risk-free assets continues to rise.
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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen