Daily Flows & Insights – Market Awaits Q1 GDP Tomorrow

Daily Flows

  • AMP leads the short end with its 31-day notice account at 4.50% (corporate) and 4.30% (financial). Steady inflows continue, though the 30bps bonus may soon end.
  • In the 6–12-month space, BBB+ banks remain competitive, with the new month bringing pricing flexibility. Rabobank (A-1/A) continues to lead at the long end, offering top levels out to 5 years.
  • Suncorp (Norfina, AA-) Sept-29 FRNs were offered around +80bps, providing relative value against major bank paper of similar tenor.

Market Awaits Q1 GDP Tomorrow

  • A quiet domestic session overnight with no major data releases saw the 10-year Australian government bond sit around 4.29%.
  • The RBA Minutes for May, due today, will be closely watched for insight into the policy balance between holding and a possible 25–50bps cut.
  • Final partial economic data — net exports and government spending — will be released today ahead of tomorrow’s Q1 2025 GDP print.
  • RBA’s Assistant Governor Hunter will deliver a speech in Brisbane titled Joining the Dots: Exploring Australia’s Links with the World Economy, expected to reinforce the May SoMP view that global trade remains a net disinflationary force for Australia.
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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen