Off the back of the FOMC minutes, reference rates opened 5 basis points higher for 1 year.
Outright levels for term deposits may be expected to tick higher to levels of 5.25-5.30%.
There is two-way flows in the NCD space but a bid tone remains. Most banks are opting to hold onto maturing NCDs given the TFF window and EOFY tightness that is expected.
FOMC Opts to Wait and See
This morning the FOMC minutes were released and surprised markets with a more hawkish than expected tone.
Members noted that “there was a lack of further progress toward the Committee’s 2% inflation objective”.
Another point that markets picked up on was the fact that many participants noted they were questioning the current level of restrictiveness given the current conditions.
There was also some expressing a “willingness to tighten policy further” if inflation risks arise.
As most Central Banks are positioned right now, the Fed is waiting for the prevailing data to reveal a significant trend before any decisive action.