Semi-government securities continue to see active trading, as balance sheet managers seek to acquire zero-risk-weight assets.
Duration remains in focus, with most of middle market investors comfortable locking in above 4.50% term deposits for 3-5 years.
Opportunities remain to secure +50 for 3-6 month NCDs from foreign branch banks.
Employment Falls in Australia
Australia’s labour market weakened in February, with employment falling by 52.8k, reversing January’s downwardly revised 30.5k gain, while unemployment held steady at 4.1% due to a sharp drop in participation (-0.4ppts to 66.8%).
Both full-time (-35.7k) and part-time (-17.0k) employment declined, while hours worked contracted by 0.4% m/m, reinforcing signs of softening labour market conditions.
The data alone is not enough to prompt an immediate RBA rate cut, but it adds momentum toward easing monetary policy in the coming months.
Despite weaker employment figures, the RBA remains cautious, with Deputy Governor Hauser recently emphasising strong employment growth—however, today’s data suggests that labour market conditions may be shifting to a more sustainable pace.