Daily Flows & Insights – CPI Holds Firm, RBA Still Watching

Daily Flows

  • A green-friendly BBB+ name is drawing strong interest with 4.50% for 5 months — one of the most competitive short-term offers.
  • Yesterday, an A-2/BBB+ priced at 4.25% for a 1 year TD, appealing to investors seeking to extend to a longer tenor.
  • Several banks lifted margins to +45bps over 3m BBSW, reflecting renewed funding needs and a more active tone this week.

CPI Holds Firm, RBA Still Watching

  • April CPI printed at 2.4% y/y, slightly above the 2.3% forecast, with higher new dwelling costs surprising to the upside.
  • New Dwelling Purchase prices rose 0.5% m/m — a key driver of the trimmed mean, which lifted to 2.8% y/y from 2.7%.
  • The housing category, which makes up 8% of the CPI basket, had been a source of disinflation but now poses upside risk.
  • The RBA remains cautious and data-dependent, with next month’s quarterly CPI seen as a key print ahead of their next meeting on July 8.
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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen