Daily Flows & Insights – Bullock Reaffirms RBA’s Resolute Goal of Returning Inflation to Target

Daily Flows

  • Yesterday the first Mutual issuance in a while was released. Bank Australia launched a 3 year MTN that priced at a discount margin of +150.
  • The issue had over $260Mill in orders and issued $225Mill once the price was set.
  • With a recent jump in reference rates, the spread between term deposits and NCDs has tightened.
  • Currently, Market participants are able to pick up a 6 month NCD at a level close to term deposit rates.

 

Bullock Reaffirms RBA’s Resolute Goal of Returning Inflation to Target

  • Yesterday Michelle Bullock spoke at the CBA Global Markets conference, reiterating key points ahead of todays inflation data.
  • The RBA board has a “low tolerance” for inflation returning to its target range of 2% to 3% at a slower pace than anticipated.
  • This stance remains firm, even if there are indications of economic challenges.
  • Market attention is currently on the release of the Q3 2023 CPI data, with economists anticipating a 1.1 percent increase in prices for the July-September quarter.
  • This exceeds the RBA’s annual target inflation range of 2 percent to 3 percent.
  • The RBA’s staff forecasts, set to be updated in November, will also play a pivotal role in future decisions.
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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen