Daily Flows & Insights – Bullock Doubles Down On Hawkish Tone and U.S. Jobless Calms Recession Concerns

Daily Flows

  • With an upcoming Westpac bond maturity there was plenty of rotation into the secondary market with attractive margins offered for 5 year major floating paper.
  • Standout term deposit of 5.15% for 5 months and 5.20% for 10 months from an A-2/BBB+ ADI continues to be locked by market participants.
  • With NCD activity quiet, outright levels around 4.80% for 3 month A-2 paper was commonplace yesterday.

Bullock Doubles Down On Hawkish Tone and U.S. Jobless Claims Recession Concerns

  • Yesterday, Michelle Bullock reiterated the hawkish tone she delivered post RBA meeting.
  • She made it clear that the upside risks would force the RBA’s hand to raise rates, stating that persistently high inflation the worser outcome.
  • Overnight, The U.S. initial jobless claims fell 17K to 233K. Whilst this is second tier data, given the heightened sensitivity of markets it saw risk off trading ensue.
  • U.S. equities rallied and U.S. treasury yields rose by up to 8 basis points at the shorter end of the curve.
  • Historically, this time of year the jobless data is volatile and usually does not gainer such attention.
  • Despite this it did help ease markets concerns surrounding recession fears.

 

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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen