Daily Flows & Insights – Bond Yields in the U.S. Fall and Uncertainty Over Oil Climbs

Daily Flows

  • With uncertainty surrounding the interest rate outlook at the longer end, funds were directed to shorter tenors.
  • A rate of 5.18% for 6 months was a standout as short-end reference rates remained steady.
  • As Liquidity tends to become tighter in the NCD market at this time of the month, margins may tick up until mid-month when banks receive securitisation top-ups.

Bond Yields in the U.S. Fall and Uncertainty Over Oil Climbs

  • Dovish Fed speak by FOMC member Logan has seen markets react accordingly.
  • Logan made it clear that recent increases in long-term yields may reduce the need for the Fed to raise their Federal funds rate again.
  • The treasury bond market was closed for Columbus Day holiday; however, futures were active.
  • Markets are now pricing in a 35% chance of a hike in December.
  • Uncertainty over the effect of Middle-Eastern conflict has seen oil rise, with WTI climbing by 4.3%.
  • Right now, markets are plagued by uncertainty with geopolitical events and restrictive policy nearing its peak globally.
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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen