![Daily Flows & Insights – Bond Yields in the U.S. Fall and Uncertainty Over Oil Climbs](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fdata.curve.com.au%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2023%2F09%2Fpexels-zukiman-mohamad-87236-1024x683.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Daily Flows
- With uncertainty surrounding the interest rate outlook at the longer end, funds were directed to shorter tenors.
- A rate of 5.18% for 6 months was a standout as short-end reference rates remained steady.
- As Liquidity tends to become tighter in the NCD market at this time of the month, margins may tick up until mid-month when banks receive securitisation top-ups.
Bond Yields in the U.S. Fall and Uncertainty Over Oil Climbs
- Dovish Fed speak by FOMC member Logan has seen markets react accordingly.
- Logan made it clear that recent increases in long-term yields may reduce the need for the Fed to raise their Federal funds rate again.
- The treasury bond market was closed for Columbus Day holiday; however, futures were active.
- Markets are now pricing in a 35% chance of a hike in December.
- Uncertainty over the effect of Middle-Eastern conflict has seen oil rise, with WTI climbing by 4.3%.
- Right now, markets are plagued by uncertainty with geopolitical events and restrictive policy nearing its peak globally.