Daily Flows & Insights – Approaching Year’s End

Daily Flows

  • With built-up demand leading into Christmas, a lot of ADIs are popping up chasing funds. This will likely dry up in the new year.
  • With reference rates bumping up post-GDP, we are seeing lots of attractive rates on offer, and you can still find quite a few terms above 5.00% in the short and longer terms.
  • We saw a lot of flow in the BBB space at 5.10% for 12 months last week. We expect to see similar levels this week.

Approaching Year’s End

  • The last full week of the year shouldn’t contain too many surprises as far as data goes, with the monthly consumer sentiment report due out tomorrow.
  • It follows a run of mixed news, with the dovish tilt from the RBA last Tuesday being somewhat at odds with yet another strong employment report released on Thursday.’
  • Market expectations gyrated on the mixed news throughout the week, with almost three cuts still priced for next year, the first not expected until the May meeting.

  • Offshore events should provide more interest, with the Fed set to meet this week, where a 25bp cut to the Fed Funds Rate is expected.
  • There will be other central bank meetings, such as the Bank of England and Bank of Japan, where no change is currently expected.
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Curve Team
David Flanagan