Daily Insights – All Eyes on Australia’s Q3 CPI as Softer US Data Fuels Global Rate Cut Opinion

All Eyes on Australia’s Q3 CPI as Softer US Data Fuels Global Rate Cut Opinion

  • US inflation data released Friday came in softer than expected, strengthening expectations that the Fed is more than likely to cut rates over its next two meetings.
  • Core CPI rose 0.2% over the month and 3.0% annually, while headline CPI lifted by 0.3%, both slightly under forecasts and suggesting inflation pressures are gradually easing in the economy.
  • US Treasury yields were steady overall, with the 10 year ticking up just 1 basis point to 4.00%. Despite the mild move yields still ended lower for the week, marking a fourth straight weekly decline as investors position for potential rate adjustments ahead.
  • It’s shaping up to be a big week on the data front, with Australia’s Q3 CPI due Wednesday likely to set the tone for the RBA’s upcoming meeting.
  • Globally, attention turns to a busy central bank lineup, with decisions from the Fed, BoC, ECB and BoJ all due in the coming days.
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Curve Team
Jack Pedersen