Daily Flows & Insights – More Than A Headline 

Daily Flows

  • It was another robust day of flows yesterday with term deposits once again dominating.
  • Interestingly we saw a much wider range of tenors being demanded by investors with the usual 6-12 month range widening out to a 3 to 24 month spread of maturities.
  • The flatter curve is giving investors plenty to weigh up when placing funds with some opting to lock in for longer given the growing level of uncertainty around the outlook.
  • After a quiet few weeks of debt issuance we have CIBC out today with a 3yr covered bond offering a pretty good margin for a AAA credit.
  • We expect that the bid tone in the NCD market will remains with a few ADI’s still looking to meet a growing demand for funding over the remainder of the month.

More Than A Headline

  • Employment growth was solid again in Australia for the second straight month in March with a further 53,000 jobs added against expectations of a 20,000 increase.
  • It appears those who had job offers in January, as highlighted by the RBA, took a little longer to start than expected.
  • Looking past the headline numbers and the result looked a little less impressive.
  • The underemployment rate jumped 0.4% to 6.2% and total aggregate hours works fell over the month while the unemployment rate remained steady.
  • Overall the jobs market remains strong without being so tight that it is causing too make pressure on wages.
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Curve Team
David Flanagan